More Than 50% Indians Will Be Middle Class By 2030: Research


Rohit Kulkarni

Rohit Kulkarni

Apr 13, 2025


India is poised for a major socio-economic shift, with more than half of its population projected to become middle class by 2030, according to a report by cultural strategy firm Folk Frequency. This transformation is largely fuelled by upward mobility, increased educational access, and digital penetration into rural and tier-2+ regions. The report notes a shift in consumer behaviour from fulfilling basic needs to prioritizing experiences, reflected in a sharp rise in experiential spending — casual dining has surged by 49% and fine dining by 55%. The emerging middle class, often the first generation in their families to earn wages in formal sectors and receive higher education, is redefining India’s consumption landscape.

Bridging the Gap: Reaching Aspirational India Through Education and Inclusive Marketing

Despite the growing internet usage in rural areas — now at 57% — marketing strategies remain overly focused on metro cities and English-speaking demographics. AI-driven bias against regional languages is cited as a key reason for this disconnect, resulting in missed opportunities to engage India’s real aspirational consumers.

Education plays a central role in this transformation. The National Education Policy (NEP) 2020 aims to raise India’s Gross Enrollment Ratio to 50% by 2035, up from 26.3% in 2018. Improved educational access has contributed to a sharp drop in extreme poverty (from 22.5% in 2011 to 10.2% in 2019), while also nurturing a generation of financially aware, brand-conscious consumers who demand authenticity, quality, and transparency.

Rising Influencers: Women and Youth Redefining India’s Consumer Landscape

Women are emerging as a powerful economic force. Over half of medical students in India are now female, and 14% of businesses are woman-led. Notably, women have fuelled 64% of the growth in luxury single-malt sales. The report emphasizes the need for products specifically designed for women rather than being adapted from male-focused designs.

Additionally, Gen Z and Gen Alpha are becoming influential decision-makers, especially in areas like family travel. These young consumers prioritize inclusivity, sustainability, and accountability, and are increasingly vocal about ethical and cultural issues. According to Gayatri Sapru, founder of Folk Frequency, this report stands out for its original, rigorous analysis and offers crucial insights for brands looking to stay relevant in a rapidly evolving cultural landscape.

Summary:

India is undergoing a socio-economic transformation, with a rising middle class, improved education, and digital growth in rural areas. Women and Gen Z/Alpha are reshaping consumption trends. The report urges brands to adopt inclusive strategies, address regional diversity, and align with evolving values of authenticity, sustainability, and ethical consumerism.

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Rohit Kulkarni
Rohit Kulkarni
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