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Last updated: June 2, 2014 at 17:50 pm

Fast rise and even faster fall

India’s stock market and Rupee growth has been fast and furious. The fall seems to come even faster.

I have been going gaga over the rise of Indian stock market as well as the rise of Rupee against dollar in the recent past. This blog has seen number of articles published previously on rupee fall and its repercussions for export oriented sectors like IT/ITES.

However the tide seems to be turning even faster. The stock market is plunging in big numbers every second day and the loosing streak does not seem to be ending. Indian stock market has come down to 15000 levels from high of more than 21000 levels in just 2 months. Investors have lost thousands of crores in this carnage.

Indian Stock market fall

The same goes with Indian Rupee. It was gaining ground against Dollar for last 7 straight months, come 2008, it has completely reversed its trend. The rupee has gone above 40.4 and seems to be going further by the day.

Rupee Dollar conversion graph

Will the stock market fall come to a halt soon or are we going to have dreadful 2008?

Will the Rupee come back to 43-44 against dollar, or is it just a temporary blip?

I don’t have these answers nor will I dare predicting!

Do you have the answers?


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  • Even if 2008 turns out to be a negative, so what? Investors have made good money in the past 4 years and perhaps a little rest might do them some good. Long term investors have a good opportunity to pick fundamentally sound stocks at bottom prices. Traders could make money using put options or in futures. Think out of the box. Do not be fixated on long only strategy. <a href="investologic.blogspot.com/">INVESTMENT IDEAS</a>

  • Our Analysis also shows that stocks in Indian Stock Market are at very good premium for long term investors. Look for value blue chip stock and invest but remember diversification. Look for different sectors in BSE100 and Nift50 Stocks. If using Fundamental analysis then look for valuation and order pipeline and invest in confidence any time but if going by technical analysis look for reversal and break out patterns to time the entry. – ArthSutra

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